BMS Q3 Earnings Beat Estimates, but Cobenfy Faces Challenges in Schizophrenia Market

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BMS Q3 Earnings Beat Estimates, but Cobenfy Faces Challenges in Schizophrenia Market

Bristol Myers Squibb (BMS) reported strong third-quarter earnings, surpassing analyst expectations with $12.2 billion in sales. However, the company's recently approved schizophrenia drug Cobenfy fell short of projections, highlighting the difficulties of penetrating a market with long-established prescribing habits.

Cobenfy's Slow Start and Future Potential

Approved by the FDA in September 2024 as the first novel drug for schizophrenia in 35 years, Cobenfy generated $43 million in Q3, slightly below analyst estimates of $45-46 million. BMS CFO David Elkins reported a total of $105 million in sales for Cobenfy to date.

Despite the slower-than-expected uptake, BMS CEO Chris Boerner remained optimistic, stating, "Cobenfy is delivering steady growth as we continue to receive positive feedback from physicians on key indicators, supporting our expectation that this is a meaningful first indication for Cobenfy."

The company acknowledges the challenge of changing "deeply ingrained D2 [dopamine] prescribing habits" and plans to focus on educating healthcare providers about Cobenfy's novel mechanism of action.

Alzheimer's Disease Psychosis Trial Results Pending

Investors and analysts are eagerly awaiting results from the Phase III ADEPT-2 trial, which evaluates Cobenfy against placebo in treating moderate to severe psychosis in Alzheimer's disease patients. The readout, initially expected with Q3 results, has been delayed due to concerns about trial execution.

Two additional studies of Cobenfy in Alzheimer's disease psychosis, ADEPT-4 and ADEPT-1, are set to report results next year. Boerner noted, "We anticipate needing two of these three studies to read out positively to support regulatory approval."

Strong Performance from Growth Portfolio

BMS's growth portfolio performed well in Q3, contributing $6.9 billion to the company's total revenue. Key drivers included:

  • Opdivo (cancer): $2.5 billion
  • Breyanzi (CAR T therapy): $359 million (58% year-over-year increase)
  • Camzyos: $296 million (88% increase)

Based on these results, BMS raised its full-year 2025 revenue guidance from $46.5-47.5 billion to $47.5-48 billion.

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